Foreign Affairs

Is it time for Saudi Arabia to retaliate against Iran?

One of the major unsettled scores in the Middle East involves the Iranian-sponsored attack on the Saudi oil refinery.  Until the United States decided to take out terrorist majordomo Qasem Soleimani, that may have been the most significant act of aggression in the region in recent days.  It was much more than the bottle-rocket warfare regularly conducted by various terrorist groups.

Though the Saudi government threatened retaliation for this attack on its sovereignty, nothing has yet happened.

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While Iran is blustering over the death of Soleimani – as can be expected – their options are very limited.  Iran is suffering a crushing economic crisis due to the sanctions put in place by President Trump.  While the liberal establishment believes the regime in Tehran is firmly ensconced – just as they believed the old Soviet Union was a permanent reality – there is significant opposition to the mullah-led government at the grassroots in Iran.

It is easy for the folks in Tehran to draw hundreds of thousands of supporters to the streets as a funeral protest, but that will not change the minds and hearts of those opposing the oppressive government and the crashing economy.

The leaders of Iran will have to either recognize that they cannot out escalate the United States, or they will engage in an exchange of escalations that will eventually lead to regime change.

Despite the rhetoric, Iran is in a very vulnerable position.  It would not take much to pull the carpet out from under the regime – and Saudi Arabia is in the perfect position to do it.  Tehran is running out of money to fuel international terrorism.  The killing of Soleimani leaves his network of terrorist organizations floating adrift – without the massive influx of money that the Obama administration provided and Soleimani used to deadly consequences.

The last economic lifeline for Iran is oil.  If they lose the ability to sell oil, they have nothing left.  The United States can impact on Irani oil sales with additional sanctions, BUT Saudi Arabia can deliver a coup d ’grace by a tit-for-tat attack.  They can bomb Iran oil refineries – essentially putting Iran out of business.  Without oil income, the people of Iran will have no other option but to bring down the government they already despise.

The disruption of Irani oil would not have a major impact on the United States or Saudi Arabia.  America is not only an energy-rich nation, as is Saudi Arabia.  The world is currently awash in oil from multiple sources.  That is why the killing of Soleimani has had very little impact on the price of crude.  Oil-rich nations, like Russia, may align with Iran, but they cannot afford to withhold their oil from the market.

With the economy in shambles and the flow of oil disrupted, the leaders in Tehran will not be able to carry out major retaliation, terrorism or war.  They will be bankrupt.

The brother of Prince Mohammad bin Salman is in Washington meeting with Trump.  We can only hope that a massive attack on Irani oil production is on the agenda.

So, there ‘tis,

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Foreign Affairs
12 Comments on this post.
  • Nr
    10 January 2020 at 4:58 pm
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    These treasonous hypocrite libs(lying sack of Schiff) don’t know the meaning of the truth! They are at it again and just as mentally deranged as the rest of the Globalists NAZI Muslim Commie Liberal Demoncrats! Deep State, Pelosi, Waters, Schumer, Hollywood, Academia, Fake News, Swamp News and you know the rest!! ‪Expose, Boycott, Sue, prosecute and bring to justice all these lying Fake News deep state treasonous Godless NAZI commie liberal demoncrats and RINOs post-haste,Patriots! Drain the rat infested swamp President Trump!‬

  • Denis
    10 January 2020 at 5:20 pm
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    Why would Trump and the Republicans wish to promote further war in the Middle East? To divert attention to Trump’s impending impeachment?

  • Paul
    10 January 2020 at 5:20 pm
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    Saudi Arabia can’t fight its way out of a paper bag. USA and others have been saving its ass since January 1990. If Saudi Arabia had no oil , no one would care.

  • Peter Davis
    10 January 2020 at 7:11 pm
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    Why are you trying to start a war – in fact one that could become WWIII?
    If you are not, then shut up!

    • Glenn
      11 January 2020 at 6:49 am
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      “could become WWIII”? The only reason you even know about Iran is that it serves the Fake News agenda of stirring up shit around Trump. The longest real conflict that the U.S. had with them in 40 years lasted a month and most of that was spent chasing them from hole to hole. They just shot down their own civilian plane… ya, “Fear This”. Not. And don’t believe for a minute that Russia or China, who still walk a wide berth around pissing off the U.S., have any interest in defending those annoying little shitheads.

      Clue. You’re welcome.

  • Deborah Deveroux
    10 January 2020 at 7:23 pm
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    Why? They’re just as barbaric as their Iranian cousins! Watch the documentary on Saudi Arabia on Netflix

  • BrianJ
    10 January 2020 at 7:39 pm
    Leave a Reply

    No you don’t want that, Saudi Arabia is not ready yet. U.S. will become stuck in a mercenary roll.
    I think President is playing it right.

  • Estell
    10 January 2020 at 7:47 pm
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    The middle east needs to fight their own wars.

  • Ronald hatt
    10 January 2020 at 7:52 pm
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    Soleimani, will be replaced, by another Iranian”Puppet”!..{ of that, you can be sure}….Any “new open space, in any Middle est Country, will be filled by ISIS! The cowards, that ran, & hid, when they saw the Americans coming, with “blood in their eye”, & a trump sticker on their ak47’s!

    The Middle East “Arabs”, have been killing each other since before the “Old Testament”! We are not going to be able to stop them from doing that, but we MUST….Protect our American Citizens!….{ At all costs}

  • Larry Horist
    10 January 2020 at 9:37 pm
    Leave a Reply

    Actually trying to end one by winning. If you have not noticed, we are already in a prolonged. Democrats and the Washington diplomatic establishment have kept the US fighting a war of attrition for decades — and now they want to get back to business as usual.

  • Derek Blurb
    11 January 2020 at 2:14 am
    Leave a Reply

    The Saudi Military is impotent. They cannot give loaded weapons to their draftees or volunteers since they fear they will use them to take power. So they arm family members, the thousands of princes. But you can’t send princes to risk their lives in combat, even if it is rewarded with Muslim paradise as described in the koran’s sourates. So the Saudi will never attack, fight, go to war. They pay for others to do that. They pay us … Well, not us but the US.

  • Djea3
    11 January 2020 at 1:43 pm
    Leave a Reply

    I am not certain that this article is actually sane. While modern history has generally allowed that leaders should not be targeted militarily that is not a rational ideology. IN ancient history the leaders were always executed to end the problem permanently. If you want to end a regime that is causing problems then you must take out those that set policy. (this is what the democrats are doing to Trump, decapitating him to end policy they do not agree with even though the PEOPLE have mandated it). That can be done militarily or by political means.
    Rather than attack infrastructure and destroy an economy long term and possibly create environmental disaster…..A direct attack taking out the LEADER of rogue and despotic states it a much better option. The Saudis instead of destroying the environment and the infrastructure of profit centers can consider a direct attack taking out the LEADERS THEMSELVES. This will end the policy itself instead of forcing a temporary change by force.

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